Some Dare to Predict
I’ll be honest with you; I have no clue what is coming next. I foresee a lot of growth in distributed data and processing technologies. That is a bit of a wimpy prediction based on the current velocity.
Agile SDLC will continue to grow. Even though it has not been shown to produce more successful software projects that the Waterfall SDLC, Agile provides the added benefit of changing directions much more rapidly. In my opinion, that is the biggest value of the Agile SDLC, and developers tend to enjoy it better because they focus more on what they do best, software development. Again, this is not much of a prediction…because the trend is already on the run.
So here are some predictions that are way out there…
Relational Database Designers and Developers will migrate to BI platforms.
Companies will move to no-SQL storage because they can reduce time to market by not having to write an ORM layer. As a result, more of the No-SQL engines will be providing query languages and tools allowing non-developer access to data stores.
The Android OS will become the defacto operating system on small devices.
Google will purchase CISCO, Microsoft or Oracle.
Replace transistor devices with biological devices. For example, using an organic brain for computer memory or computation. They were using animal brains for computer memory back in 1985. Now if we could clone an elephant brain for a computer, we would have a machine that never forgets, and works for peanuts.
Microsoft will have 3 new data access technologies that are their recommended best practices in the next ten years.
The company formerly known as Borland will be resurrected, purchase rights, and release the next version of Visual Fox Pro.
IBM will release the first version of Visual RPG. (it’s not that much of a stretch if Micro Focus can release Visual COBOL… which they have).
Now that I’ve had my fun (and that’s all it is) here are some thoughts from the rest of you…
Andrew writes:
One direction is towards biological and computational coexistence aka Man-Machine integration. We will see Human-Computer interfaces greatly improved to help the paralyzed. But this altruistic advancement will later (much more than 10 years from now), spill over into general humanity. The mobile device will become embedded biologically within us. We are currently moved by a wave towards greater cosmopolitanism and freedom in our time but later an echo of this wave will move us towards identity verification for national or other group purposes so that biologically-powered RFID will be inserted at birth (or before). Later we will eventually insert hardware that will allow the human to context switch between biological-based thinking and computational-based reasoning. We will all be online all the time. The definition of being “human” will become more difficult to state.
Miguel Writes:
First of all I want to compliment you for the nice text.
What will the future be?
The trends for the next few years I think will be focused on the mobility, information for everyone and everywhere.
The increasing growth of mobile gadgets as the tablets and smart phones will open a very large market for the software developers, and smallish companies will appear with interesting widgets in that area. Probably they will be eaten by the big sharks.
The major revolution i think will be the role of the TV in all this, the merge of the traditional TV with the internet features and the new mobile technologies. In the near future it will be usual to see our favorite program and the same time interact with others in a social network, purchase merchandising related to the program we are seeing or for example see all the stats related to the sports transmission we are seeing. The remote control will be a tablet or a smart phone.
James Writes:
I am still stuck on Microsoft announcing ODBC is the new future of data access. Makes me feel like a dud for all these years preaching to my classes that ODBC while still used in Office is the old way and you should be adopting the new ways in .NET…
I think voice recognition is going to really come together in the next couple of years. The iPhone 4S is going to get it into more hands of nontechies and they will be frustrated which will push IT to make it really work well.
That’s enough prognostication for today. Why not send in your predictions…I’ll give you another chance, even as we move on to another topic. Drop me an email at btaylor@sswug.org. Or, just post something at our SSWUG site on Facebook.
Cheers,
Ben
$$SWYNK$$
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